solution

Begin in medium-run equilibrium where actual and expected inflation equals 2% in period t. Suppose there is an increase in consumer confidence at period t+1. Given that 1+1 = 16 and 17+2 = 714+1; or, in other words, tee = (-1). Assume also that the zero lower bound of the nominal interest rate is not binding.

Answer the following questions:
(1) Assume that the expected inflation rate for period t+1 (at period t) still equals 2% after consumers’ confidence increases. How do the short-run equilibrium output and actual inflation rate in period t+1 compare to the equilibrium output and actual inflation rate in period t if the central bank does not change the real policy rate from period t to period t+1? (10%) Draw diagrams to show the movement from period t to period t+1 using the IS-LM-PC model with words.
(2) (Continued from the above) Suppose that the increase of consumers’ confidence at period t+1 increases the change of inflation rate (i.e., 11t+1 – TIe) that is equal to 5%. What is the actual inflation in period t+1? Moreover, in period t+2 consumer’s confidence remains high (equal to that in period t+1) and the central bank does not change the real policy rate. What will be the actual inflation rate at period t+2? (10%) Draw IS-LM-PC model to explain with words.

 
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