solution
solution.
(a) Do you believe that the MCMC sample size of 3 chains, each with 2500 iterations after a burn-in of 500 iterations, is adequate? Why or why not? If you feel it is inadequate, than rerun WinBUGS with a larger MCMC sample size. If you use a larger MCMC sample size, then you may wish to use a value of n.thin greater than 1. Is the length of the burn-in periods adequate?
(b) Explain the purpose of the lines mu[1]
Save your time - order a paper!
Get your paper written from scratch within the tight deadline. Our service is a reliable solution to all your troubles. Place an order on any task and we will take care of it. You won’t have to worry about the quality and deadlines
Order Paper Now(c) Construct time series and ACF plots of the parameters theta, sigma, ypred[1], and ypred[2]. What do the plots tell us about MCMC mixing and convergence? Include your plots and the R output with your work.
(d) Find a 90% posterior interval for the next observation after the observed data.
"Looking for a Similar Assignment? Get Expert Help at an Amazing Discount!"
